Alabama
W-L: (58- 8) PR = 99.1363Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 17- 0 206 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 9- 0 206 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 9- 1 207 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 3 207 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 7- 2 213 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 10- 0 213 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 6- 3 214 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 214 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 8- 0 220 H Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 7- 0 220 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 8- 0 221 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 5- 1 222 H Dartmouth IVY ( 0- 5, 91.7) 3- 2 224 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 8- 0 227 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 8- 0 227 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 2- 0 228 H Kent State MA ( 0- 4, 86.6) 8- 1 228 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 8- 0 301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 7- 0 301 H Oakland HL ( 1- 5, 91.9) 8- 1 301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 7- 0 301 H Oakland HL ( 1- 5, 91.9) 8- 1 306 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 5- 3 306 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 13- 2 308 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 1 310 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 8- 1 313 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 314 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 9-14 315 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 317 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 4- 1 320 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 2- 1 321 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 2- 5 322 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 3 325 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 10- 3 325 H North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 12- 0 327 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 8- 3 328 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 13-11 402 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 9 403 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 11- 4 404 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 7- 4 407 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 8- 0 410 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1- 0 411 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 4- 0 412 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 9- 1 414 A Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 3 417 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 418 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 5- 4 419 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 4- 0 421 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6- 0 425 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 12- 0 426 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 427 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 6 430 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 3- 0 501 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 0 502 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 4- 3 507 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 7- 1 508 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 9- 1 509 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 7 515 H USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 8- 0 516 A Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 3- 0 517 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 9- 0 522 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 7- 0 523 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 4- 1 528 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 6- 3 530 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 5- 1 601 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 4- 5 601 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A Villanova 17- 0 17 10 + 3.56
206 A Georgia Tech 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.44
206 H East Carolina 9- 1 8 9 -0.60
207 H Villanova 9- 3 6 12 -- -5.93
207 A Georgia Tech 7- 2 5 4 1.44
213 H Purdue 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.57
213 H Liberty 6- 3 3 8 -- -4.51
214 H Liberty 8- 0 8 8 0.49
214 H Purdue 8- 0 8 5 + 2.57
220 H Elon 7- 0 7 13 -- -5.88
220 A Florida State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.08
221 A Florida State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.08
222 H Dartmouth 3- 2 1 8 --- -7.22
224 H UAB 8- 0 8 8 -0.41
227 H South Florida 8- 0 8 6 1.56
227 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 2- 0 2 4 -1.59
228 H Kent State 8- 1 7 13 --- -6.26
228 H South Florida 8- 0 8 6 1.56
301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 7- 0 7 4 + 3.41
301 H Oakland 8- 1 7 8 -0.96
301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 7- 0 7 4 + 3.41
301 H Oakland 8- 1 7 8 -0.96
306 A Ole Miss 5- 3 2 3 -1.09
306 A Ole Miss 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.91
308 A Ole Miss 2- 1 1 3 - -2.09
310 H Samford 8- 1 7 9 - -2.50
313 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.79
314 H Arkansas 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.21
315 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.79
317 H UL Monroe 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.24
320 A Missouri 2- 1 1 4 - -2.90
321 A Missouri 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.90
322 A Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.90
325 H Jacksonville State 10- 3 7 5 1.89
325 H North Alabama 12- 0 12 10 + 2.49
327 A Oklahoma 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.51
328 A Georgia 13-11 2 1 1.30
402 H Texas 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.92
403 H Texas 11- 4 7 1 +++ 6.08
404 H Texas 7- 4 3 1 + 2.08
407 H South Alabama 8- 0 8 7 0.50
411 A Auburn 4- 0 4 4 0.36
412 A Auburn 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.36
414 A Samford 2- 3 -1 8 --- -9.01
417 H Kentucky 9- 0 9 6 + 2.85
418 H Kentucky 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.15
419 H Kentucky 4- 0 4 6 - -2.15
421 A UAB 6- 0 6 7 -0.92
425 A Tennessee 12- 0 12 1 +++ 10.52
427 H Duke 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.26
430 A Baylor 3- 0 3 4 -1.17
502 H South Carolina 4- 3 1 5 - -3.91
507 H Arkansas 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.79
508 H Florida 9- 1 8 2 ++ 5.81
509 H Texas 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.92
515 H USC Upstate 8- 0 8 9 -1.25
516 A Belmont 3- 0 3 5 - -2.09
517 A USC Upstate 9- 0 9 8 1.24
522 H LSU 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.14
523 A LSU 4- 1 3 1 1.63
528 H UCLA 6- 3 3 0 + 2.67
530 H Nebraska 5- 1 4 1 + 2.81
601 A Texas Tech 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.15
601 H Texas Tech 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.64
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Dartmouth 3- 2 1 8 --- -7.22 228 H Kent State 8- 1 7 13 --- -6.26 321 A Missouri 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.90 402 H Texas 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.92 414 A Samford 2- 3 -1 8 --- -9.01 427 H Duke 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.26 509 H Texas 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.92 207 H Villanova 9- 3 6 12 -- -5.93 213 H Liberty 6- 3 3 8 -- -4.51 220 H Elon 7- 0 7 13 -- -5.88 314 H Arkansas 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.21 317 H UL Monroe 4- 1 3 7 -- -4.24 418 H Kentucky 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.15 308 A Ole Miss 2- 1 1 3 - -2.09 310 H Samford 8- 1 7 9 - -2.50 320 A Missouri 2- 1 1 4 - -2.90 322 A Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.90 419 H Kentucky 4- 0 4 6 - -2.15 502 H South Carolina 4- 3 1 5 - -3.91 516 A Belmont 3- 0 3 5 - -2.09 601 H Texas Tech 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Florida State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.08 306 A Ole Miss 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.91 327 A Oklahoma 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.51 403 H Texas 11- 4 7 1 +++ 6.08 425 A Tennessee 12- 0 12 1 +++ 10.52 206 A Georgia Tech 9- 0 9 4 ++ 5.44 213 H Purdue 10- 0 10 5 ++ 4.57 412 A Auburn 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.36 507 H Arkansas 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.79 508 H Florida 9- 1 8 2 ++ 5.81 522 H LSU 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.14 205 A Villanova 17- 0 17 10 + 3.56 214 H Purdue 8- 0 8 5 + 2.57 221 A Florida State 5- 1 4 1 + 3.08 301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 7- 0 7 4 + 3.41 301 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 7- 0 7 4 + 3.41 313 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.79 315 H Arkansas 4- 1 3 0 + 2.79 325 H North Alabama 12- 0 12 10 + 2.49 404 H Texas 7- 4 3 1 + 2.08 417 H Kentucky 9- 0 9 6 + 2.85 528 H UCLA 6- 3 3 0 + 2.67 530 H Nebraska 5- 1 4 1 + 2.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 17- 0 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.38 6.23
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 9- 0 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.38 11.49
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 9- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.38 7.64
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 3 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.38 5.10
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 7- 2 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.38 11.49
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 10- 0 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.38 10.07
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 6- 3 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.38 8.47
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.38 8.47
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 8- 0 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.38 10.07
3 H Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 7- 0 -12.90 6.47 -0.74 0.38 4.38
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 8- 0 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.38 13.51
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 5- 1 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.38 13.51
3 H Dartmouth ( 0- 5, 91.7) 3- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.38 7.93
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 8- 0 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.38 7.79
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 8- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.38 9.30
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 2- 0 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.38 11.47
3 H Kent State ( 0- 4, 86.6) 8- 1 -13.28 6.09 -0.74 0.38 4.08
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 8- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.38 9.30
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 7- 0 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.38 11.47
3 H Oakland ( 1- 5, 91.9) 8- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.38 8.13
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 7- 0 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.38 11.47
3 H Oakland ( 1- 5, 91.9) 8- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.38 8.13
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 5- 3 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.38 11.85
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 13- 2 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.38 11.85
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 1 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.38 11.85
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 8- 1 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.38 6.96
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.38 14.05
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 9-14 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.38 -0.19
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.38 14.05
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 4- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.38 8.68
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 2- 1 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.38 11.23
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 2- 5 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.38 -0.89
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 3 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.38 11.23
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 10- 3 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.38 10.31
3 H North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 12- 0 -9.53 9.84 -0.74 0.38 6.95
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 8- 3 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.38 15.36
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 13-11 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.38 13.68
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 1- 9 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.38 -0.32
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 11- 4 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.38 13.51
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 7- 4 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.38 13.51
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.38 8.49
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 1- 0 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.38 11.43
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.38 11.43
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 9- 1 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.38 11.43
3 A Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 3 -9.52 9.85 0.74 0.38 -1.68
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.38 9.51
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 5- 4 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.38 9.51
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 4- 0 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.38 9.51
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6- 0 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.38 8.92
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 12- 0 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.38 13.08
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1- 6 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.38 -0.77
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 3- 0 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.38 11.03
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 0 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.38 10.46
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.38 10.46
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 7- 1 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.38 14.05
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 9- 1 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.38 12.54
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 1- 7 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.38 -0.32
3 H USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.38 7.15
3 A Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 3- 0 -6.60 12.77 0.74 0.38 10.32
3 A USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 9- 0 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.38 8.28
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 7- 0 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.38 12.03
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 4- 1 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.38 13.16
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 6- 3 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.38 13.96
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 5- 1 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.38 13.30
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 4- 5 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.38 -0.02
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 2 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.38 -0.27
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600.18
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winning pts = 604.6276 losing points = -4.4484
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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